Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Newt Gingrich, the Rogue Elephant in the Room


                During the Punic wars between the ancient Romans and the Carthaginians, the Romans came face to face with one of the most fearsome sights the ancient battlefield had to offer, a fully grown elephant, equipped for war.  As the invention of firearms was some 1700 years away, killing these war elephants was no mean feat.  A few elephants could disrupt an entire formation, and decidedly tilt the balance of power on the battlefield.  However, the Romans came up with a brilliant strategy to counter the Carthaginian war elephants.  They realized that elephants are incredibly hard to kill, but relatively easy to panic.  Rather than killing the elephants, they used fire and trumpets to panic them into running wildly around the battlefield, ignoring their riders and trampling friend and foe alike. 
                Newt Gingrich is President Obama’s panicked elephant.  Gingrich is undoubtedly a powerful debater, a great modern conservative thinker, and should be a huge asset to the Republican Party.  Out of all of the current candidates in the Republican primary, you would be hard pressed to find anyone who either has a more appealing set of ideas (to both conservatives and moderates), or does a better job of explaining those ideas than Gingrich.  However, his temperament is decidedly non-presidential.  He is pugnacious, at times bordering on impudent.  He likes to speak extemporaneously, and this leads to occasional gaffes.  He was able to overcome these flaws as Speaker of the House, but the President is the Head of State, with responsibility for directing the country’s diplomacy.  Gingrich is many things, but he is decidedly not diplomatic.  People thought George W. Bush pissed a lot of other countries off?  That was nothing compared to what Gingrich would do.  Gingrich also brings a tremendous amount of personal baggage to the race.  In fact, it is a testament to the quality of his ideas and his skill as an orator that he is even considered a serious candidate.  The man has had two divorces, and was fined for ethics violations while speaker (the charges were overblown, but still, THE MAN WAS FINED FOR ETHICS VIOLATIONS, just a thought, but that might provide your political opponents with some ammo).  Gingrich has secured his place as one of the great men of late 20th century conservatism, but he will never be President.
                Gingrich, however, seems unwilling or unable to reconcile himself to this fact.  Gingrich has been driven mad by what he sees as the unfair, ungentlemanly (but extremely effective) personal attack ads aired against him by Romney’s super-PAC.  The rest of the world might find it a bit hypocritical for the man who led the charge to impeach Bill Clinton for his personal indiscretions in the oval office to cry foul over ads which reference his personal life while he seeks the oval office.  But whether Gingrich is genuinely convinced that Romney has crossed a line, or he is just seeing his political life flash before his eyes, he has embarked on an impulsive, destructive rampage that puts panicked elephants to shame.
                Rather than trying to promote his conservative agenda, Newt is striking out at Romney with anything and everything he can think of that might gain traction with the public.  One line of attack in particular is damaging not just to Romney, but to the Republican Party, and American Conservatism in general.  This is the charge that in his time at Bain Capital, Romney was a greedy Wall Street tycoon who heartlessly killed companies, fired all the workers, and pocketed the assets for himself.  He’s not accusing Romney of breaking any laws.  He’s accusing Romney of being an integral part in a broken, manipulative, unfair system.  The problem is that that system happens to be the free market economy.  Newt Gingrich, the champion of small government, free market conservatism during the 1990’s, is now criticizing Mitt Romney for being an extremely successful free market capitalist.  (For the record I do not buy a lot of the criticisms of Romney’s work at Bain financial.  But more on that later. ) Gingrich’s attacks are the kind of attacks you would expect from not just a liberal, but a fairly left-leaning liberal.   At the least, Gingrich’s attacks will provide the Obama campaign with a roadmap of how to attack Romney.  If Romney ends up winning the nomination, not only will Obama be able to pull the old, “even your fellow Republicans said…” move, but he will also know exactly how various forms of attacks on Romney’s Bain record resonate with each cohort of voters.  There will be no risk involved with running attack ads against Romney, he’ll know exactly what he’s getting.  Even worse, Gingrich’s attacks could actually succeed and convince a chunk of the electorate that the free market system is an evil that needs to be radically overhauled or abandoned, and shift the American electorate a little bit further to the left.   Talk about a politician cutting off his nose to spite his face.
                As a countermeasure to the Roman strategy of panicking their elephants, the Carthaginians began equipping their elephant riders with a spike and a mallet that they could use to instantly bring down the elephant if it started to panic and posed a danger to other Carthaginian troops.  Newt has no rider.  His staff is bare bones.   All of his experienced advisers and campaign gurus left the campaign during its early difficulties.   No one can calm Newt down or rein him in.  So Newt will continue to rampage, striking out wildly at whoever dares to approach him, until his rage is sated by time, or Romney finally manages to clinch the nomination and forces him to accept the fact that he will not be the Republican nominee for President.

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